This practical 4-day program will consist of:
- A review of the current state of risk management
- Update on the current crisis sweeping the globe and the role of risk management
- Current initiatives (Basel III, Solvency II) that impact all financial and non-financial organizations
- The structure of risk management
- Risk appetite, probability, uncertainty, and the volatility of cash flows
- Corporate governance – The role of the Board of Directors and Management
- Defining ERM within the strategic plan
- Defining strategic goals and the linkage to risk management
- Key Risk Indicators (KRI’s)
- The universe of risk. Definitions within the categories
- Systemic risk - Country risk, political risk and others
- Organization specific risk, including Operational risk, Market risk and Credit risk
- Identifying the activities that cause the risk
- The use of risk management tools
- Measuring return against risk
- Risk Adjusted Return on Assets (RARoC) and
- Economic Value Added (EVA) are two of the most common
This is a comprehensive programme that is essential for:
- Executive management.
- Senior management.
- Risk professionals.
- Auditors.
- Regulators.
Course Background
The extensive efforts that have gone into building ERM frameworks over the last several years appears to have been ineffective in dealing with the current global crisis. Industry after industry and country after country appear to have been unable to manage the risks they faced which has led to a significant reshaping of the financial world. This programme will explore the crisis, identifying the weaknesses in risk management programmes and focusing on the things that were done right. Basel II and Basel III will be represented, along with the framework they provide.
Day 1
The current state of risk management will be discussed. The current situation faced by many countries and the impact on businesses within these countries will be reviewed. This will be followed by a discussion and review of the structure of risk management and the introduction of the case studies.
Review of the current state of Risk Management
- The world-wide economic crisis. Its causes and effects.
- Going back to the beginning: a review of how the seeds were planted for the current crisis and how it spread throughout the world.
- The failures associated with risk management and the reactions.
- There are many failures that occurred in risk management programmes. These failures will be reviewed and discussed for their impact on the future of risk management.
- The future of risk management from both the legislated and practical aspects.
- Crisis Review
- The Nigerian Regulatory changes.
- In August 2009, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) conducted a special audit of the Nigerian Banks, resulting in significant changes at approximately half of the Banks. Why did the CBN do this? What was the result?
- The Risk Management failures at BP.
- BP had a robust risk management programme. What went wrong and how did it lead to the failure in the Gulf of Mexico?
- The crisis in Greece.
- What caused the collapse of confidence in Greece?
- How did it affect the financial institutions in Greece?
- How do systemic issues affect financial institutions?
The concepts of risk
- Defining Risk – A Primer
- How you define risk determines how you will measure and manage it. The discussion of risk will begin with the concepts of probability and certainty, with examples provided for each. Statistical concepts like correlations and coefficients will be reviewed in order to establish the set of definitions.
- Risk definitions will be presented and discussed with an emphasis on relating the definitions back to practical Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) and Value examples. The discussion will begin at the level of Systemic and Organization Specific Risk, as well as; Credit, Market and Operational Risk. A full group of subset definitions will be presented and covered.
- Cash flow volatility will be reviewed as a key determinant in building an ERM programme.
- The strategic plan is the basis for the risk management activities of the organization. This agreement between the Board of
- Directors and Management regarding future events and activities the company will participate in is critical to an effective ERM programme.
- Establishing the risk appetite quotient
- Using a case study as the basis, the development of the risk appetite will be focused on. This appetite, which links back to cash flow volatility, establishes the first set of parameters used by the organisation in the ERM programme. These parameters create the focus for ERM and is the first step in determining its effectiveness and influence in the company. Components of the risk appetite development include;
- Projected cash flows and profitability.
- The establishment of a hurdle rate for pending projects and established services.
- Correlations between different activities.
- Capital deployment and leverage.
- The current level of risk faced by the company.
- As a concurrent activity, it is important to build the baseline for ERM within the organisation.
Day 2
Basel II, Solvency II and Capital Management.
On day 2, the significant changes imposed by the implementation of Basel II will be explored, as well as the insurance industry’s Solvency II initiative currently being developed and implemented. Capital
requirements.
- Basel II
- Defining Basel II – Why was it developed? What are the changes being implemented? What does it mean for a financial institution?
- The role of capital in risk management.
- The three pillars of Basel II (to be explored in detail on day 3).
- Solvency II
- Defining Solvency II.
- Understanding the impact on the insurance industry.
- Capital
- The different roles of capital.
- Capital management.
- Using capital management as a risk management tool.
Day 3
Credit, Counterparty, Market and Operational Risk.
On day 3, the specific risk categories will be covered. The principals of the regulatory oversight of Basel II and III will be addressed. Capital as a tool will be introduced.
- Credit and Counterparty Risk
- Building a credit risk programme. Refining your approach to credit risk management.
Stress testing the loan portfolio.
- Market Risk
- Understanding the concepts of market risk, including interest rate risk and liquidity risk.
- Illiquidity will be explored in conjunction with a rapidly changing market.
- Operational Risk
- Building and defining an Operational Risk Management programme.
- Operational risk analytics and their link to controls and audit.
- Basel III - The changes to capital requirements as a result of the crisis.
Day 4
Using the Risk Management Programme for Value Creation.
Circling back to Day 1, the linkage between ERM and Value Creation will be explored. Concepts like Economic Value Added (EVA) and Risk Adjusted Return of Capital are examined and applied to Risk Management.
- Capital: Its various definitions and how it is deployed in an organisation.
- EVA an overall view.
- RARoC.
Case studies will be used throughout the programme to highlight the learning points.
Conclusion
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John Hurlock is the Director of Integrated risk Management for Metavante Corporation, a US $2 Billion financial services technology firm based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. John is responsible for the
delivery of risk management business solutions to financial institutions both nationally and internationally. In this arena John is focused on financial risk management, especially the areas covered under Basel II
(Credit, Market and Operational Risk).
Before rejoining Metavante, John was the Director of Business Consulting Services for BancWare, a risk management technology firm and a subsidiary of SunGard Corporation. John started the business
consulting practice at BancWare and delivered financial risk management solutions to financial institutions throughout the world.
John has over 25 years of experience in financial institutions. His first 15 years were spent working for financial institutions of various size and complexity, and has spent the last ten plus years in the business
consulting arena. During John’s banking career, he worked in several areas of banking including credit, treasury services and operations.
John has consulted with domestic and international financial institutions ranging in size from the community bank market to a US $1 trillion international financial institution. He has assisted banks as they have worked through regulatory orders and issues and been heavily involved in the roll out of advanced risk analytics including risk based capital, the Basel II Accord and stress testing.
John has an undergraduate degree in Economics and an MBA from the University of Wisconsin. He is currently an adjunct professor for Webster University, teaching in their MBA program. He teaches
Investment, Capital Markets and Management. John has also authored several articles and white papers and is a sought after speaker at banking conferences.
Interested in holding this course in-house? Please fill out your details and a member of our team will be in touch with more information.
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