Day 1
Themes: Energy markets; varying approaches to financing different types of energy projects; qualitative and quantitative analysis; cash flow modeling.
OIL, GAS AND POWER PROJECT FINANCE TODAY
· The changing market for financing energy transactions:
Special features of limited recourse projects
Corporate balance sheet usage
· Electricity and BOO, BOT, BOOT, BLT, etc.
· Private sector providing public services
· Players and their roles
· Steps in a project financing
· Types of projects and their comparative complexity
· Identifying and allocating risks
RISK IDENTIFICATION AND ALLOCATION IN OIL GAS AND POWER PROJECT FINANCING: DIFFERENT APPROACHES/DIFFERING RISKS
· Financing structures: limited recourse vs. balance heet deals
· Pipelines
· Field development and platforms
· Production facilities
· Refineries and petrochemical plants
· Power plants
SOURCES OF FINANCE: A FINANCING CHECKLIST
· Domestic borrowing
· Loans from international banks
· International capital markets: eurobonds, private placements
· Export credit support for loans and bonds
· Specialized agencies: IFC and others
· Leasing
· Equity from project sponsors and others
· Derivatives usage
BUILDING A RISK MATRIX
· Risk allocation between sponsors, creditors and others
Technology and construction/ completion
· Reservoir/reserves risks
· Feedstock risk
· Sales and off-take, operation and maintenance
· Abandonment/decommissioning
· Environmental/regulatory issues
· Country/political risk
QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS: DESIGNING PRO-FORMA ENERGY PROJECT MODELS
· Approaches to modeling for oil and gas transactions
· Debt providers: DSCR, loan life, and other key ratios
· Balancing equity and debt suitably in different types of projects
· Developing an appropriate base case/running sensitivities
· Perspective of the sponsor and measures of investor return
CASE STUDY: Financing an ammonia plant
Participants break into small groups to evaluate this security package this gas processing plant.
A computer simulation quantifies risk assessments.
Day 2
Themes: Legal issues to consider in accessing finance; bank markets; credit enhancement with ECAs; upstream oil and gas field development
CASE DISCUSSION: fertilizer
LEGAL ISSUES IN ENERGY FINANCE
· Legal environment for energy deals
· Commercial points and legal points in various project structures
Incorporated and unincorporated joint ventures
Partnerships and limited partnerships
Separate and common financing in natural resources projects
· Key contractual agreements and structuring considerations
DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL BANK FINANCE
· Club loans and bank syndicates: primary and secondary distribution
Pricing, flexibility, timing in the sector and today
· What security do banks want?
Offshore accounts and trustees
· Mortgages on fixed assets / contract assignments
· Swap requirements and other derivatives usage: interest rate and currency
· Recent structures; case examples from Africa and the Middle East
SOURCES OF RISK SUPPORT: EXPORT CREDIT AGENCIES (ECAS)
· Official guarantees, insurance and funding programs for energy transactions
· Incentives in ECA programs
Which are most popular today?
Costs and availability
UPSTREAM OIL AND GAS: OIL AND GAS EXPLORATION, DEVELOPMENT AND PRODUCTION
· Structure of the oil and gas industry: upstream, midstream and downstream
· Hydrocarbon basics: geology, reserves
· Supply and consumption, OPEC, etc.
· Oil production: process depletion and enhanced recovery
· Major systems and types of drilling equipment
· Offshore oil platforms in shallow and deep water
CASE STUDY: Financing a condensate field development
Participants break into small groups to evaluate the security package and forecasted cash flows for an upstream condensate field development project.
Day 3
Themes: Alternative sources of finance and capital markets; energy price volatility management techniques; leasing and equipment finance
CASE DISCUSSION: Oil field development
SOURCES OF RISK SUPPORT: DEVELOPMENT BANKS (IFIS)
· Key IFIs and programs
World Bank Group: World Bank, IFC, MIGA,ICSID
Other multilaterals: Africa development bank, Islamic development, Inter-American development bank etc.
Bilaterals: US OPIC, FMO, Proparco and others
ACCESSING CAPITAL MARKETS FOR PROJECTS PRE- AND POSTCOMPLETION
· Capital markets and examples of projects
Rule 144A and Eurobond financing
Mezzanine Finance
Infrastructure investment funds
· Rating agency criteria
· Construction finance vs. operating projects
Greenfield vs. Brown field projects
· Crude oil export receivables securitization
· Examples: Ras Laffan Qatar, Nigerian LNG, Trinidad
OIL AND GAS TR-ANSPORTATION/ SHIPPING
· Logistics: pipelines, shipping, storage
· Types of tankers
Average Freight Weight Assessment classes (AFRA)
· ULCC to tanker lightering
· Understanding charters; time and voyage
REFINERIES: SIMPLE AND COMPLEX
· Refined production
· Simple or topping refineries; vacuum distillation
· Complex refineries
· World profile and current transactions in Asia
LEASING EQUIPMENT
· Objectives and structures
· Costs and calculations
· Applications in energy project finance
CASE STUDY: Rig finance
In small groups participants will assess a proposed bond issuance to refinance a semi-submersible rig conversion. Evaluating operating cash flows.
4Day
Themes: Islamic finance; derivatives usage for energy price management; power markets power project financing
CASE DISCUSSION: Rig finance
ISLAMIC FINANCING ALTERNATIVES FOR ENERGY PROJECTS
· Structures: Istisna, Ijara, Sukuk
· Examples: Petro-Rabigh Saudi Arabia, others
MANAGING OIL PRICE VOLATILITY WITH DERIVATIVES
· Oil and gas price markets and players
· Oil and natural gas swaps and options
· Costs, structures, indices, applications
· Recent examples of usage
INTRODUCTION TO POWER PROJECT FINANCING
· Constructing a power risk matrix
· Understanding different types of thermal plants
· Peakers vs. base-load facilities and power dispatch curves
· Combining water desalination and electricity production
· Rating agencies analytical model
CASE STUDY: Financing a thermal power plant
Participants will break into small groups to evaluate the security package for this cogeneration plant. A computer simulation is used.
MARKET FORCES AND EFFECT ON ELECTRICAL SUPPLY
· Fragmentation of electricity generation
Gencos
Transcos
Discos
· Merchant power plants with uncontracted sales
· Tolling arrangements
· Renewable energy: financing wind, solar and bio-fuel plants
Comparative costs and grid parity
Government support schemes for renewable projects
Understanding carbon markets
Conclusion and self-test
Day 5
Themes: LNG project modeling workshop Participants build a pro-forma cash flow model for a Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) facility. They assess a wide range of scenarios in order to test a limited recourse financing package, the projects debt capacity, and its suitability for investment. Discussion of common approaches to modeling as well as Excel, dos and donts. Further practical uses for models in negotiations are described.
MODELING WORKSHOP OVERVIEW: OBJECTIVES AND APPROACHES
· Constructing a model/common myths
· Variations by project type
STRUCTURING THE MODEL AND ORGANIZING THE DATA TO CREATE A CASH FLOW STATEMENT
· Developing the assumptions page
· Construction costs and timing
· Operating cost, plant capacity usage, fixed and variable costs reinvestment, plant expansion, productivity shifts
FINANCING SECTION
· Equity first or pro rata manually designed equity subscription
· Draw-down of debt linked to specific contracts or expenditures or in a hierarchy
· Funding the debt service reserve account
DEVELOPING PROFIT AND LOSS AND BALANCE SHEET STATEMENTS
· Factoring in reserves
· Considering currencies
· Tax calculations
RATIOS AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: OBJECTIVES AND LIMITATIONS
· Measuring debt capacity and investor return
· Using modeling output for initial project vetting
· Supporting on-going negotiations
Summary and conclusion of modeling workshop