Day 1
- An introduction to production sharing contracts and upstream economic analysis.
- The history and evolution of production sharing contracts (PSCs).
- The basic PSC, contractor and government relationship.
- The PSC structure, content and flowchart.
- The fundamentals of upstream economic analysis.
- Discounted cashflow.
- Discount rate, discount factor and discount method.
- The cost of capital and the hurdle discount rate.
- Capital budgeting techniques (NPV, IRR, DPIR, payback).
- Valuing an asset, making development & investment decisions.
- Inflation, cost escalation, real versus nominal cash flows.
- Managing and quantifying risk both deterministically and probabilistically.
Day 2
- Cost recovery.
- Cost recovery mechanism.
- Recoverable costs.
- Cost oil, cost gas and NGLs.
- Excess cost recovery.
- Cost recovery modelling in Excel.
Cost recovery case studies: Angola, Indonesia, Equatorial Guinea, Egypt, Syria, Gabon.
- Profit sharing.
- The profit pool.
- Profit sharing.
- Profit gas and profit oil.
- Profit sharing modelling in Excel.
Profit sharing case studies: Angola, Indonesia, Equatorial Guinea, Egypt, Syria, Vietnam.
- Bonuses.
- Signature & commerciality Bonuses.
- Production Bonuses.
- Cost recoverability.
- Bonus modelling in Excel.
Bonus case studies: Gabon, Vietnam, Sudan, Oman, Syria.
- Sliding scale fiscal mechanisms.
- Production rate sliding scales on production rate and volume.
- R-Factor and rate of return methods.
- Step versus incremental methods.
- Influencing activity through sliding scales.
Case studies: Angola, China, Equatorial Guinea, Bangladesh, Algeria, Nigeria, Sao Tome, Tunisia, Libya.
- Taxation.
- The basis of the taxation liability.
- The CT ring fence.
- Chargeable income.
- Capital allowances.
- Liability and payment phasing.
- The treatment of tax losses.
- Tax holidays.
- Taxation modelling in Excel.
Case Studies: Cameroon, Albania, Sao Tome, Algeria, Indonesia, Mozambique, China, India, Jamaica, Cote dIvoire, Egypt, Libya, Cyprus, Gabon.
Day 3
- Ring fences.
- PSC ring fence.
- Taxation ring fence.
- Ring fence calculations and examples.
- Ring fences in a strategic context.
Case studies: Cambodia, Cuba, Malaysia, Angola.
- The economics of PSCs.
- Contractor cash flow.
- Government cash flow.
- Cost carry arrangements.
- Comparison with royal and taxation systems.
- Optimisation of PSC terms.
- Working interest vs entitlement
- The treatment of abandonment expenditure in PSCs.
Case studies: Algeria, Angola, Libya, Vietnam, Equatorial Guinea.
- Summary of the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB).
- An outline of the key points of the bill will be given focussing on the revised economic terms. There will be a class discussion on how the bill may impact on the industry.
- Nigeria PSC Economics Workshop.
- A Nigeria PSC based case study modelling the fiscal terms in Microsoft Excel.
- Understanding the PSC fiscal structure and algorithms of the Nigeria contract.
- Determining the field, economic and fiscal data and building the input decks.
- Step by step construction of the PSC model.
- Running the economic cases and evaluating the results.
- Analysis of the sensitivities.
- Model solution provided to delegates .
Summary and closing remarks.
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