Day 1
We begin the course with an introduction to the fundamentals of todays portfolio management Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT). We will explore concepts such as efficient frontier, risk/return trade-offs, the asset allocation process and conclude the day with a look at investor characteristics and new developments in behavioural finance.
Principles of modern portfolio management
Introduction and objectives
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Overview of course.
- What is Portfolio Management?
Statistical and theoretical approaches to investment management
- Commonly used statistical measures.
- Diversification and the efficient frontier.
- Risk vs. return trade-off.
- Other applications of Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT).
- Essential asset pricing models.
Case study portfolio management decisions
Participants will be given a historical portfolio of common stock, debt securities and other assets and will be asked to calculate related portfolio statistics: expected returns, standard deviation of returns, covariance, correlation coefficients and beta of the assets. Participants will then use this information to construct an efficient portfolio.
The asset allocation decision
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Steps in the portfolio management process.
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Analysing risk and return objectives.
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Influence of political and economic factors in determining optimal asset mix.
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Strategic vs. tactical AA.
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The cases for and against international diversification.
Case study: strategic asset allocation
Participants will be given a background information for a variety of different investors and asked to design appropriate portfolio mixes.
Investor characteristics & qualities
Exercise the importance of behavioral finance topics
Participants will examine how a series of behavioural investment biases affect optimal investment decisions as defined by MPT. Biases to be evaluated include:
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Frame dependence.
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Overconfidence.
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Representativeness.
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Loss aversion.
Day 2
The fixed income market is one of the largest and fastest growing areas in the global financial marketplace, as government and private debt constitute nearly half of the wealth in international financial markets. Day 2 explores the fundamentals of fixed income investments, sensitivity measures to evaluate bond performance, and several commonly employed strategies used by fixed income portfolio managers.
Managing fixed income portfolios
The yield curve
- Deriving par coupon and zero coupon curves.
- Use of present value factors.
- Yield curve shapes and cash flows.
- What moves the yield curve?
Exercise: yield curve analysis
Participants are given government and swap yield curves from four currencies: Euro, US Dollar, Yen and Sterling. Groups will discuss implications and answer the following:
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What do the yield curves tell us about current financing conditions?
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What implications do the yield curves have for future interest rate movements?
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What capital markets possibilities do market conditions present for the Banks clients?
Valuing fixed income instruments: duration and convexity
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Bond price sensitivity.
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Price value of a basis point.
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Macaulay and modified duration measures.
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Calculating effective convexity.
- Using Duration and Convexity as Summary Statistics for Active Management of Fixed Income Portfolios: Parallel Yield Curve Shifts, Steepeners, Flatteners, and Butterfly Shifts.
Exercise: bond pricing
Participants will be given a series of par coupon rates from which present value factors, securities prices and bond coupons must be computed.
Fixed income portfolio management
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Objectives and constraints.
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Active vs. Passive strategies.
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Using diversification to minimize risk.
- Immunisation strategies.
Case study: portfolio pricing
Participants are given a group of bonds from a portfolio of a fixed income manager and must forecast their price changes as interest rates fluctuate. Participants will also determine the appropriate amount of hedging bond needed to immunize the portfolio.
Special topics in fixed income
Day 3
Equity portfolio management is often a critical component of overall investment success since equity securities often represent a significant portion of many investment portfolios. After a review of equity vital equity valuation techniques, we will discuss the role of equities in an investment portfolio, the major approaches employed to manage equities and conclude with a look at strategies used to manage international and emerging market equity portfolios.
Equity portfolio management
Asset pricing models revisited and equity valuation
General principles
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Using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
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Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC).
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Fundamental equity valuation.
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Multiples analysis.
Exercise using asset pricing models
Participants will answer a series of questions related to applications of CAPM and equity valuation techniques
Equity portfolio management
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Underlying drivers for use of equity.
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Issuer/investor perspectives.
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Equity style management.
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Security selection approaches: top-down or bottom up.
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Establishing relevant benchmarks.
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Long-short vs. long-only strategies.
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Equitising market-neutral portfolios.
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Alpha / Beta separation.
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Applications of portable alpha.
Exercise evaluating equity funds
We will review several equity portfolios, discussing relative weightings, sector allocation and other important attributes affecting performance
Equity indexing
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Weighting schemes of major indices.
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Equity index futures and their role.
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Index mutual funds.
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Exchange-traded funds.
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Strategies and benchmarking approaches.
International equity portfolio management
Case study emerging markets portfolio construction
Participants will first examine some of the major issues confronting emerging market portfolio construction, including high correlations during crisis, cost of capital computation difficulties, and non-normal return distributions. Then, groups will prepare a presentation to investors demonstrating the advantages of an emerging market portfolio.
Day 4
Alternative investments & performance analysis
The alternative investments universe
Principal classes of alternative investments including:
- Hedge funds.
- Private equity.
- Commodities.
- Real estate.
- Distressed securities.
Alternative investment management & strategies
- Different investments and their investor characteristics.
- Key drivers of hedge fund returns.
- 130/30 Funds.
- Portable alpha strategies.
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The risk of hedge funds.
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Alpha and beta separation.
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Identifying suitable hedge funds.
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Core-Satellite programs.
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Use of derivative strategies.
Exercise: alternative investment analysis
Participants will evaluate different alternative investments and select suitable investors to match various portfolios.
Performance measurement, evaluation and attribution
Case study: putting it all together
Participants will use all topics covered to evaluate a group of investment portfolios, determining the strengths and weaknesses, etc.
Course Summary & close